tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 05:34 ONT → 10:41 DFW
    AA 1412 · American · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 DFW → 16:02 LGA
    AA 3289 · American · 3h 32m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 28mONT 05:34 to LGA 16:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.