tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 43%

  1. 05:34 ONT → 10:41 DFW
    AA 1412 · American · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:46 DFW → 16:30 JFK
    AA 481 · American · 3h 44m · 50% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 56mONT 05:34 to JFK 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.