tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 11:37 AUS → 12:50 DFW
    AA 1413 · American · 1h 13m · 81% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 DFW → 14:28 LAS
    AA 2376 · American · 2h 48m · 54% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 51mAUS 11:37 to LAS 14:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.