tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Los Angeles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 17:11 DCA → 19:41 DFW
    AA 1414 · American · 3h 30m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 DFW → 22:03 LAX
    AA 1084 · American · 3h 14m · 44% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip7h 52mDCA 17:11 to LAX 22:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.