tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Santa Ana via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:11 DCA → 19:41 DFW
    AA 1414 · American · 3h 30m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:16 DFW → 22:24 SNA
    AA 348 · American · 3h 08m · 74% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 13mDCA 17:11 to SNA 22:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.