tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Panama City Beach via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:11 DCA → 19:41 DFW
    AA 1414 · American · 3h 30m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:34 DFW → 22:36 ECP
    AA 3565 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 02m · 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 25mDCA 17:11 to ECP 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.