tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Houston via Miami: arrives on time 40%

  1. 10:45 AUS → 14:39 MIA
    AA 1417 · American · 2h 54m · 77% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 MIA → 17:22 IAH
    AA 1931 · American · 2h 52m · 59% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 37mAUS 10:45 to IAH 17:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.