tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Jacksonville via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 12:56 AUS → 16:50 CLT
    AA 1419 · American · 2h 56m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:47 CLT → 19:14 JAX
    AA 1991 · American · 1h 28m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 19mAUS 12:56 to JAX 19:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.