tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:56 AUS → 16:50 CLT
    AA 1419 · American · 2h 56m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:02 CLT → 20:06 JFK
    AA 657 · American · 2h 04m · 58% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 10mAUS 12:56 to JFK 20:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.