tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Rochester via Boston: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:47 CLT → 20:10 BOS
    AA 1422 · American · 2h 23m · 51% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 BOS → 22:59 ROC
    AA 4662 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 37m · 68% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 19mCLT 17:47 to ROC 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.