tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Pittsburgh via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:52 AUS → 18:32 PHL
    AA 1423 · American · 3h 40m · 79% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:24 PHL → 21:00 PIT
    AA 347 · American · 1h 36m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 08mAUS 13:52 to PIT 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.