tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Cedar Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:38 DFW → 21:22 ORD
    AA 1424 · American · 2h 44m · 39% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ORD → 23:49 CID
    AA 3326 · American · 1h 14m · 57% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 16mDFW 18:38 to CID 23:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.