tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Richmond via Philadelphia: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:05 ATL → 09:15 PHL
    AA 1428 · American · 2h 10m · 91% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:12 PHL → 14:35 RIC
    AA 5843 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 30mATL 07:05 to RIC 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.