tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Buffalo via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:05 ATL → 09:15 PHL
    AA 1428 · American · 2h 10m · 91% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 PHL → 14:19 BUF
    AA 6041 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 29m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 14mATL 07:05 to BUF 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.