Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Santa Ana via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 08:28 MIA → 10:59 ORD
    AA 1431 · American · 3h 31m · 90% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 ORD → 14:20 SNA
    AA 2640 · American · 4h 20m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 52mMIA 08:28 to SNA 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.