tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 17:10 ORD → 19:33 LAX
    AA 1437 · American · 4h 23m · 55% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 49mORD 17:10 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.