tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Phoenix: arrives on time 65%

  1. 12:53 RNO → 14:43 PHX
    AA 1437 · American · 1h 50m · 89% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 07m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 PHX → 23:58 MSP
    AA 3142 · American · 3h 08m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 202 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 07m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 05mRNO 12:53 to MSP 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.