tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 42%

  1. 12:21 EWR → 15:10 DFW
    AA 1441 · American · 3h 49m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:56 DFW → 18:19 HOU
    AA 6385 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 64% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 58mEWR 12:21 to HOU 18:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.