tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → San Francisco via Philadelphia: arrives on time 56%

  1. 18:39 RDU → 20:11 PHL
    AA 1441 · American · 1h 30m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 00:59 SFO +1 day
    AA 3295 · American · 6h 09m · 81% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 20mRDU 18:39 to SFO 00:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.