tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Des Moines via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 64%

  1. 01:15 LAX → 06:23 DFW
    AA 1445 · American · 3h 10m · 82% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:11 DFW → 09:11 DSM
    AA 3495 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 56mLAX 01:15 to DSM 09:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.