tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:44 BDL → 17:00 CLT
    AA 1448 · American · 2h 16m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 CLT → 19:34 IAD
    AA 1450 · American · 1h 30m · 53% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 56mBDL 14:44 to IAD 19:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.