tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 14:44 BDL → 17:00 CLT
    AA 1448 · American · 2h 16m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:22 CLT → 20:00 DCA
    AA 2386 · American · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 16mBDL 14:44 to DCA 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.