tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Greensboro via Charlotte: arrives on time 33%

  1. 20:22 IAD → 21:55 CLT
    AA 1450 · American · 1h 33m · 52% on time, 10.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:01 CLT → 23:57 GSO
    AA 2802 · American · 56m · 70% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (10.7% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 35mIAD 20:22 to GSO 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.