tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → New Orleans via Miami: arrives on time 29%

  1. 18:39 BNA → 22:04 MIA
    AA 1452 · American · 2h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:05 MIA → 00:09 MSY +1 day
    AA 2552 · American · 2h 04m · 64% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 30mBNA 18:39 to MSY 00:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.