tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Jacksonville via Miami: arrives on time 14%

  1. 18:39 BNA → 22:04 MIA
    AA 1452 · American · 2h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:53 MIA → 00:15 JAX +1 day
    AA 416 · American · 1h 22m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 36mBNA 18:39 to JAX 00:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.