tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:50 SRQ → 16:45 CLT
    AA 1452 · American · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:34 CLT → 19:28 PHL
    AA 423 · American · 1h 48m · 66% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 32mSRQ 14:50 to PHL 19:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.