tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Austin via Phoenix: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:08 LAS → 14:24 PHX
    AA 1466 · American · 1h 16m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 PHX → 19:43 AUS
    AA 2892 · American · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 35mLAS 13:08 to AUS 19:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.