tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 86%

  1. 20:45 SEA → 05:37 MIA
    AA 1471 · American · 5h 52m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:02 MIA → 10:38 DCA +1 day
    AA 1299 · American · 2h 36m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 53mSEA 20:45 to DCA 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.