tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Raleigh/Durham via Miami: arrives on time 86%

  1. 20:45 SEA → 05:37 MIA
    AA 1471 · American · 5h 52m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:05 MIA → 10:20 RDU +1 day
    AA 2405 · American · 2h 15m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 35mSEA 20:45 to RDU 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.