tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Philadelphia via Miami: arrives on time 85%

  1. 20:45 SEA → 05:37 MIA
    AA 1471 · American · 5h 52m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MIA → 11:55 PHL +1 day
    AA 551 · American · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 12h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip12h 10mSEA 20:45 to PHL 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.