tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → St Louis via Washington: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:44 PIT → 18:59 DCA
    AA 1473 · American · 1h 15m · 48% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DCA → 21:21 STL
    AA 3028 · American · 2h 21m · 56% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 37mPIT 17:44 to STL 21:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.