tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 17%

  1. 15:31 BNA → 17:44 DFW
    AA 1475 · American · 2h 13m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:36 DFW → 19:54 IAH
    AA 1392 · American · 1h 18m · 50% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 23mBNA 15:31 to IAH 19:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.