tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 15%

  1. 15:31 BNA → 17:44 DFW
    AA 1475 · American · 2h 13m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:38 DFW → 21:22 ORD
    AA 1424 · American · 2h 44m · 39% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip5h 51mBNA 15:31 to ORD 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.