tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Detroit via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:31 BNA → 17:44 DFW
    AA 1475 · American · 2h 13m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 DFW → 22:36 DTW
    AA 3108 · American · 2h 49m · 52% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 05mBNA 15:31 to DTW 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.