tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 19%

  1. 15:31 BNA → 17:44 DFW
    AA 1475 · American · 2h 13m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:34 DFW → 19:51 HOU
    AA 3351 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 17m · 67% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 20mBNA 15:31 to HOU 19:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.