tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Knoxville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:31 BNA → 17:44 DFW
    AA 1475 · American · 2h 13m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:34 DFW → 21:59 TYS
    AA 5453 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 25m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 28mBNA 15:31 to TYS 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.