Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Columbia via Chicago: arrives on time 34%
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17:27 LGA → 19:20 ORDAA 1478 · American · 2h 53m · 59% on time, 7.1% cancelled
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54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:14 ORD → 23:19 CAEAA 4275 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 10m · 76% on time, 8.3% cancelled
Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 57mLGA 17:27 to CAE 23:19, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.