tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Columbus via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:14 ORD → 16:34 LGA
    AA 1478 · American · 2h 20m · 63% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:29 LGA → 19:38 CMH
    AA 4462 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 07m · 77% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 22mORD 13:14 to CMH 19:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.