Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via New York: arrives on time 33%

  1. 13:14 ORD → 16:34 LGA
    AA 1478 · American · 2h 20m · 63% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LGA → 18:58 DCA
    AA 4773 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 76% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 44mORD 13:14 to DCA 18:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.