Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:00 JFK → 19:26 MIA
    AA 1479 · American · 3h 26m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:48 MIA → 21:57 TPA
    AA 1921 · American · 1h 10m · 59% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 58mJFK 16:00 to TPA 21:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.