Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → San Francisco via Miami: arrives on time 40%
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16:00 JFK → 19:26 MIAAA 1479 · American · 3h 26m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 09m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:35 MIA → 23:36 SFOAA 2426 · American · 6h 00m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 10h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip10h 35mJFK 16:00 to SFO 23:36, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.