tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:16 AUS → 10:10 CLT
    AA 1482 · American · 2h 54m · 97% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 CLT → 12:38 IAD
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 22mAUS 06:16 to IAD 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.