tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Chicago via Nashville: arrives on time 26%

  1. 10:41 LAX → 16:54 BNA
    AA 1484 · American · 4h 13m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:41 BNA → 19:55 ORD
    AA 1570 · American · 2h 14m · 51% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 14mLAX 10:41 to ORD 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.