tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sarasota/Bradenton via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 14:52 BNA → 17:30 CLT
    AA 1486 · American · 1h 38m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:49 CLT → 20:48 SRQ
    AA 2094 · American · 1h 56m · 53% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 53mBNA 14:52 to SRQ 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.