tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:52 BNA → 17:30 CLT
    AA 1486 · American · 1h 38m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:22 CLT → 20:00 DCA
    AA 2386 · American · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 08mBNA 14:52 to DCA 20:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.