tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Nashville via Charlotte: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:50 BUF → 20:51 CLT
    AA 1486 · American · 1h 59m · 68% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 CLT → 22:32 BNA
    AA 1644 · American · 1h 27m · 62% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 42mBUF 18:50 to BNA 22:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.