tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Miami via Nashville: arrives on time 11%

  1. 15:50 DFW → 17:48 BNA
    AA 1490 · American · 1h 58m · 34% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:39 BNA → 22:04 MIA
    AA 1452 · American · 2h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip5h 14mDFW 15:50 to MIA 22:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.