tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 73%

  1. 08:20 PHL → 10:18 CLT
    AA 1494 · American · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:11 CLT → 12:34 TYS
    AA 5953 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 14mPHL 08:20 to TYS 12:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.