tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Valparaiso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:45 BNA → 20:02 DFW
    AA 1496 · American · 2h 17m · 50% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 DFW → 22:55 VPS
    AA 1201 · American · 1h 58m · 58% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 08mBNA 17:45 to VPS 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.