tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:45 BNA → 20:02 DFW
    AA 1496 · American · 2h 17m · 50% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 DFW → 21:47 LAS
    AA 1797 · American · 2h 51m · 55% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 00mBNA 17:45 to LAS 21:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.